China’s military is poised to see a significant reshuffling of its top leadership at the 20th Party Congress. This ChinaPower feature explores recent trends within China’s Central Military Commission and forecasts potential outcomes of the 20th Party Congress.
The Taiwan Strait is a major flashpoint that threatens to undermine regional and global stability. Yet crucial questions remain about China’s approach to Taiwan, including its strategy, timeline, and willingness to use force. To shed light on these issues, ChinaPower polled dozens of leading experts. Explore the results in this feature.
Chinese escalations in response to U.S. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan have precipitated the Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis. This page tracks and analyzes key Chinese activities as they develop.
While China and Russia presently reap substantial benefits from ties with each other, their relationship is complex and comes with costs for both sides. This ChinaPower feature analyzes three key weaknesses of their relationship.
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Professor Rory Medcalf joins us to discuss China’s strategy in the Solomon Islands and the Southwest Pacific. Professor Medcalf explains that the Southwest Pacific, for much of its history, has not been a zone of major power competition and is important because it stands geographically between Australia and the rest of the Indo-Pacific and the US. The Solomon Islands is one of multiple locations in the region that China has expressed military interest in. He also argues that China’s objectives in the region could distort the interests and priorities of governments and societies and could change the region’s balance of power. Lastly, Professor Medcalf recommends that the Australian government and its partners build and maintain a new level of engagement (through both governance and civil society) in the region in order to provide alternatives to China’s influence.
This ChinaPower feature explores how China and Russia came to be so close, up until the time of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. This analysis centers on five key ways in which China benefits from the relationship.
In this episode, Dr. Mikko Huotari joins us to discuss the evolving relationship between Europe and China. He highlights the multifaceted relationship between China and the European Union, noting that the EU has labeled China as both a strategic partner and a systemic rival. Dr. Huotari argues that while the coronavirus has been a driver of recent tensions in the Europe-China relationship, there has been a longer-term negative trend of worsening ties and a lack of progress on policy agendas between the EU and China. Dr. Huotari also evaluates the evolution of European sentiment towards China, security issues regarding China, and assesses the prospect for greater transatlantic cooperation between the United States and Europe on China policy.
In this episode, Dr. David Santoro joins us to discuss the prospects for China joining a strategic nuclear dialogue, and what such a dialogue might achieve. Dr. Santoro maintains that China may be amenable to entering into bilateral talks with the US on strategic stability in the near term that could pave the way for trilateral nuclear talks with the US and Russia in the long run. He explains the challenges policymakers face in pulling China into an arms control agreement that aims at capping the number of Chinese nuclear weapons and delivery systems. Dr. Santoro also offers recommendations for how the US, China, and Russia can realistically make progress to narrow their differences on arms control going forward.
